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 · 1/1/2016 · 
A final list of assorted notable Northern Hemisphere hurricane season records has been created. Click here for the list.
 · 12/10/2015 · 
Our qualitative discussion of Atlantic basin seasonal hurricane activity for 2016 has been issued. Click here for the discussion.
 · 11/30/2015 · 
Our end-of-the-season seasonal forecast verification for the 2015 Atlantic hurricane season has been issued. Click here for the discussion.
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The Tropical Meteorology Project
Dr. William Gray
The Tropical Meteorology Project is headed by Colorado State University's Dr. William Gray. Professor Gray has worked in the observational and theoretical aspects of tropical meteorological research for more than 50 years. Most of this effort has gone to the investigation of meso-scale tropical weather phenomena. He has specialized in the global aspects of tropical cyclones for his entire professional career. Dr Gray received his Ph.D. from the University of Chicago, Dept. of Geophysical Sciences in 1964. He has been with Colorado State University's Dept. of Atmospheric Science since 1961, and has been a professor since 1974.

Dr. Gray's hurricane forecast has gained international attention, and won him the Neil Frank Award of the National Hurricane Conference in 1995. His Atlantic basin hurricane forecasts are published here. Dr. Gray's bio and vitae are available. (Archived forecasts are available.)
Dr. Phil Klotzbach is currently lead author on the seasonal forecasts. He has worked with Dr. Gray on these forecasts since he joined the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University in 2000. During this time, he has also authored over two dozen peer-reviewed journal articles on various aspects of hurricanes as well as climate change. Klotzbach received his Ph.D. from CSU in 2007. Klotzbach's bio and vitae are available.

Featured Sections

• Seasonal Hurricane Forecasts
CSU's yearly forecasts for named storms, hurricanes and major hurricanes. Includes the current forecast and archived forecasts dating back to 1984.

• Two-Week Forecasts
CSU's forecasts for Atlantic hurricane activity for two-week periods between August and October.

• Landfalling Hurricane Probability Project
Displays probabilities of landfalling tropical cyclones along the United States coastline from Brownsville, TX to Eastport, ME. Probabilities are displayed for each coastal state, as well as for 11 regions and 205 counties and are based on the latest forecast by Dr. Gray and his team. Caribbean and Central American landfall probabilities are also available. This webpage is co-produced by the GeoGraphics Lab, Bridgewater State University.

• 2016 Forecast Schedule
A table displaying the schedule for the Tropical Meteorology Project's 2016 hurricane forecasts.

• Tropical Meteorology Project Forecast Verifications
Verification of CSU's seasonal hurricane forecasts in MS Excel format.

• Tropical Meteorology Project Forecast Accuracy
Average error of CSU's hurricane forecasts since they began being issued in 1984.

• Tropical Meteorology Project FAQ
Frequently asked questions about the Tropical Meteorology's Project seasonal hurricane forecasts.

• Tropical Storm FAQ
Frequently asked questions about tropical cyclones. This webpage is maintained by Chris Landsea, Chief Science and Operations Officer at the National Hurricane Center.

• TMP Publications
Tropical Meteorology Project Publications available in PDF Format

• TMP Blue Books
Tropical Meteorology Project Research Blue Books available in PDF Format

• TMP Presentations
Tropical Meteorology Project Presentations available in Microsoft Powerpoint Format

• TMP Personnel
Personnel listing for the Tropical Meteorology Project Team. Includes names, contact information, and home page listings.

• About the TMPWeb Portal
Copyright, privacy statement, contact information. Includes information on the open-source solutions used to put together TMPweb.

All Content © 1994-2009 Dr. William Gray, Professor of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University
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