DEFINITIONS

Atlantic Basin - The area including the entire North Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico.

El Niño - (EN) A 12-18 month period during which anomalously warm sea surface temperatures occur in the eastern half of the equatorial Pacific. Moderate or strong El Niño events occur irregularly, about once every 3-7 years on average.

Hurricane - (H) A tropical cyclone with sustained low level winds of 74 miles per hour (33 m s-1 or 64 knots) or greater.

Hurricane Day - (HD) A measure of hurricane activity, one unit of which occurs as four 6-hour periods during which a tropical cyclone is observed or estimated to have hurricane intensity winds.

Hurricane Destruction Potential - (HDP) A measure of a hurricane's potential for wind and storm surge destruction defined as the sum of the square of a hurricane's maximum wind speed (in 104 knots2) for each 6-hour period of its existence.

Intense Hurricane - (IH) A hurricane which reaches a sustained low level wind of at least 111 mph (96 kt or 50 m s-1) at some point in its lifetime. This constitutes a category 3 or higher on the Saffir/Simpson scale (also termed a ``major" hurricane).

Intense Hurricane Day - (IHD) Four 6-hour periods during which a hurricane has intensity of Saffir/Simpson category 3 or higher.

MATL - Sea surface temperature anomaly in the Atlantic between 30-50°N, 10-30°W

Madden Julian Oscillation - (MJO) A broad area of equatorial convection that propagates eastward from the Indian Ocean. It is frequently associated with the development of El Niño events.

Named Storm - (NS) A hurricane or a tropical storm.

Named Storm Day - (NSD) As in HD but for four 6-hour periods during which a tropical cyclone is observed (or is estimated) to have attained tropical storm intensity winds.

NATL - Sea surface temperature anomaly in the Atlantic between 50-60°N, 10-50°W

NTC - Net Tropical Cyclone Activity - Average seasonal percentage mean of NS, NSD, H, HD, IH, IHD. Gives overall indication of Atlantic basin seasonal hurricane activity.

ONR - Previous year October-November SLPA of subtropical Ridge in eastern Atlantic between 20-30°W.

QBO - Quasi-Biennial Oscillation - A stratospheric (16 to 35 km altitude) oscillation of equatorial east-west winds which vary with a period of about 26 to 30 months or roughly 2 years; typically blowing for 12-16 months from the east, then reverse and blowing 12-16 months from the west, then back to easterly again.

Saffir/Simpson (S-S) Category - A measurement scale ranging from 1 to 5 of hurricane wind and ocean surge intensity. One is a weak hurricane; whereas five is the most intense hurricane.

SLPA - Sea Level Pressure Anomaly - The deviation of Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico sea level pressure from observed long term average conditions.

SOI - Southern Oscillation Index - A normalized measure of the surface pressure difference between Tahiti and Darwin.

SST(s) - Sea Surface Temperature(s).

SSTA(s) - Sea Surface Temperature(s) Anomalies.

Tropical Cyclone - (TC) A large-scale circular flow occurring within the tropics and subtropics which has its strongest winds at low levels; including hurricanes, tropical storms, and other weaker rotating vortices.

Tropical Storm - (TS) A tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds between 39 (18 m s-1 or 34 knots) and 73 (32 ms-1 or 63 knots) miles per hour.

TATL - Sea surface temperature anomaly in the Atlantic between 8-22°N, 10-50°W.

ZWA - Zonal Wind Anomaly - A measure of upper level ( ~ 200 mb) west to east wind strength. Positive anomaly values mean winds are stronger from the west or weaker from the east than normal.

1 knot = 1.15 miles per hour = 0.515 meters per second.